Atlantic effects on recent decadal trends in global monsoon

TitleAtlantic effects on recent decadal trends in global monsoon
Publication TypeJournal Article
Year of Publication2017
AuthorsKamae Y., Li X.C, Xie SP, Ueda H.
JournalClimate Dynamics
Volume49
Pagination3443-3455
Date Published2017/11
Type of ArticleArticle
ISBN Number0930-7575
Accession NumberWOS:000414153800029
KeywordsAMO; anthropogenic aerosols; asian summer monsoon; Atmospheric circulation; changes; climate-change; earth; Global monsoon; last glacial maximum; late 20th-century; Meridional thermal gradient; northern-hemisphere; PDO; precipitation; sea thermal contrast; system model
Abstract

Natural climate variability contributes to recent decadal climate trends. Specifically the trends during the satellite era since 1979 include Atlantic and Indian Ocean warming and Pacific cooling associated with phase shifts of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, and enhanced global monsoon (GM) circulation and rainfall especially in the Northern Hemisphere. Here we evaluate effects of the oceanic changes on the global and regional monsoon trends by partial ocean temperature restoring experiments in a coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model. Via trans-basin atmosphere-ocean teleconnections, the Atlantic warming drives a global pattern of sea surface temperature change that resembles observations, giving rise to the enhanced GM. The tropical Atlantic warming and the resultant Indian Ocean warming favor subtropical deep-tropospheric warming in both hemispheres, resulting in the enhanced monsoon circulations and precipitation over North America, South America and North Africa. The extratropical North Atlantic warming makes an additional contribution to the monsoon enhancement via Eurasian continent warming and resultant land-sea thermal gradient over Asia. The results of this study suggest that the Atlantic multidecadal variability can explain a substantial part of global climate variability including the recent decadal trends of GM.

DOI10.1007/s00382-017-3522-3
Short TitleClim. Dyn.
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