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Ridging associated with drought across the Western and Southwestern United States: Characteristics, trends, and predictability sources

TitleRidging associated with drought across the Western and Southwestern United States: Characteristics, trends, and predictability sources
Publication TypeJournal Article
Year of Publication2020
AuthorsGibson P.B, Waliser D.E, Guan B., DeFlorio M.J, Ralph FM, Swain D.L
Volume33
Pagination2485-2508
Date Published2020/04
Type of ArticleArticle
ISBN Number0894-8755
Accession NumberWOS:000518007600001
Keywordsannual cycle; atmosphere; Atmospheric circulation; atmospheric rivers; california; climate; detection; drought; el-nino; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences; North America; north pacific; pattern; precipitation; sea-surface temperature; sierra-nevada; weather forecasts
Abstract

Persistent winter ridging events are a consistent feature of meteorological drought across the western and southwestern United States. In this study, a ridge detection algorithm is developed and applied on daily geopotential height anomalies to track and quantify the diversity of individual ridge characteristics (e.g., position, frequency, magnitude, extent, and persistence). Three dominant ridge types are shown to play important, but differing, roles for influencing the location of landfalling atmospheric rivers (ARs), precipitation, and subsequently meteorological drought. For California, a combination of these ridge types is important for influencing precipitation deficits on daily through seasonal time scales, indicating the various pathways by which ridging can induce drought. Furthermore, both the frequency of ridge types and reduced AR activity are necessary features for explaining drought variability on seasonal time scales across the western and southwestern regions. The three ridge types are found to be associated in different ways with various remote drivers and modes of variability, highlighting possible sources of subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) predictability. A comparison between ridge types shows that anomalously large and persistent ridging events relate to different Rossby wave trains across the Pacific with different preferential upstream locations of tropical heating. For the "South-ridge" type, centered over the Southwest, a positive trend is found in both the frequency and persistence of these events across recent decades, likely contributing to observed regional drying. These results illustrate the utility of feature tracking for characterizing a wider range of ridging features that collectively influence precipitation deficits and drought.

DOI10.1175/jcli-d-19-0439.1
Student Publication: 
No