Source location impact on relative tsunami strength along the US West Coast

Unit source locations generating the largest amplitude waves at target sites on the U.S. West Coast.
TitleSource location impact on relative tsunami strength along the US West Coast
Publication TypeJournal Article
Year of Publication2015
AuthorsRasmussen L., Bromirski PD, Miller AJ, Arcas D., Flick RE, Hendershott M.C
JournalJournal of Geophysical Research-Oceans
Volume120
Pagination4945-4961
Date Published2015/07
Type of ArticleArticle
ISBN Number2169-9275
Accession NumberWOS:000359776000018
Keywordsearthquake; edge waves; pacific; prince-william-sound
Abstract

Tsunami propagation simulations are used to identify which tsunami source locations would produce the highest amplitude waves on approach to key population centers along the U.S. West Coast. The reasons for preferential influence of certain remote excitation sites are explored by examining model time sequences of tsunami wave patterns emanating from the source. Distant bathymetric features in the West and Central Pacific can redirect tsunami energy into narrow paths with anomalously large wave height that have disproportionate impact on small areas of coastline. The source region generating the waves can be as little as 100 km along a subduction zone, resulting in distinct source-target pairs with sharply amplified wave energy at the target. Tsunami spectral ratios examined for transects near the source, after crossing the West Pacific, and on approach to the coast illustrate how prominent bathymetric features alter wave spectral distributions, and relate to both the timing and magnitude of waves approaching shore. To contextualize the potential impact of tsunamis from high-amplitude source-target pairs, the source characteristics of major historical earthquakes and tsunamis in 1960, 1964, and 2011 are used to generate comparable events originating at the highest-amplitude source locations for each coastal target. This creates a type of ``worst-case scenario,'' a replicate of each region's historically largest earthquake positioned at the fault segment that would produce the most incoming tsunami energy at each target port. An amplification factor provides a measure of how the incoming wave height from the worst-case source compares to the historical event.

DOI10.1002/2015jc010718
Short TitleJ Geophys Res-Oceans
Impact: 

The model simulations of tsunamis provide an extensive view of the most hazardous locations for earthquakes generating events that could significantly impact the U.S. West Coast for large earthquakes that efficiently couple ocean bottom displacements into the barotropic component of the oceanic flows. Other effects that were not included in this study could significantly change the local response, including topographic channeling by smaller-scale features not resolved in the model, nonlinear effects of large-amplitude wave propagation, shoaling and breaking, and local resonance due to coastal morphology.

Student Publication: 
No