Dr. Jason Knievel
Abstract: Since 2015, Colorado's state government has funded the National Center for Atmospheric Research to develop the Colorado Fire Prediction System (CO-FPS). The system is based on the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model coupled with a fire behavior model, WRF-Fire. Through the CO-FPS web interface, users configure and launch fire forecasts, then view output using a geographical information system. The weather model's computational grid with horizontal spacing of 111 m explicitly resolves a range of atmospheric turbulence. An upgraded fire module includes a high-order advection scheme, the level-set method for tracking fires, re-initialization of the level-set to improve the stability of fire propagation, and initialization of fires from observed ignition points and fire perimeters. This presentation will describe CO-FPS, its performance, the current status of its development and experimental use, and plans for the future.
CV for biography: