Special CASPO Seminar: Dr. Jason Knievel, "Progress on developing a system for predicting the behavior of wildfires in Colorado"

07/11/2019 - 3:30pm to 4:30pm
101 Nierenberg Hall
Event Description: 

Dr. Jason Knievel


AbstractSince 2015, Colorado's state government has funded the National Center for Atmospheric Research to develop the Colorado Fire Prediction System (CO-FPS).  The system is based on the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model coupled with a fire behavior model, WRF-Fire.  Through the CO-FPS web interface, users configure and launch fire forecasts, then view output using a geographical information system.  The weather model's computational grid with horizontal spacing of 111 m explicitly resolves a range of atmospheric turbulence.  An upgraded fire module includes a high-order advection scheme, the level-set method for tracking fires, re-initialization of the level-set to improve the stability of fire propagation, and initialization of fires from observed ignition points and fire perimeters.  This presentation will describe CO-FPS, its performance, the current status of its development and experimental use, and plans for the future.

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Art Miller
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